The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Veronica remains a Category 4 system and will slowly track towards the coast. A severe impact for the Pilbara coast is likely from later Saturday afternoon and on Sunday.
Warning zone: Pardoo to Mardie including Port Hedland, Karratha and Barrow Island.
Watch zone: Wallal Downs to Pardoo, Mardie to Onslow and extending to the inland Pilbara to include Pannawonica and Marble Bar.
Cancelled zones: None.
Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Veronica at 11:00 am AWST:
Intensity: category 4, sustained winds near the centre of 175 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 250 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 35 kilometres of 17.6 degrees South, 116.8 degrees East , 355 kilometres north northwest of Port Hedland and 350 kilometres north of Karratha .
Movement: slow moving .
Severe Tropical Cyclone Veronica, a Category 4 system, is moving slowly towards the Pilbara coast. The cyclone should track south to southwest today before taking a more south to southeast track on Saturday and impact the coast. While the cyclone may weaken before before reaching the coast, a severe coastal impact is likely.
GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour may develop between Pardoo and Mardie from overnight Friday. GALES could extend further east to Wallal Downs, further west to Onslow and extend to inland areas including Pannawonica and Marble Bar later on Saturday. DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts exceeding 125 kilometres per hour are forecast to develop along the coast between Dampier and Pardoo later Saturday. VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts in excess of 165 kilometres per hour are possible near the cyclone centre as it approaches the coast Saturday night and Sunday.
Widespread very heavy rainfall conducive to MAJOR FLOODING is likely along parts of the Pilbara coast over the weekend. Heavy rainfall may extend through the inland Pilbara as the system moves inland.
People along the Pilbara coast are warned of the potential for a VERY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE as the cyclone approaches the coast over the weekend. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and VERY DANGEROUS COASTAL INUNDATION.
DFES advises of the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: People in or near communities between Mardie and Wallal Downs, including Port Hedland, South Hedland, Wickham, Roebourne, Point Samson, Karratha, Dampier, Barrow Island, Pannawonica and Marble Bar need to prepare for cyclonic weather and organise an emergency kit including first aid kit, torch, portable radio, spare batteries, food and water.
People in communities between Mardie and Onslow and the inland Pilbara including Marble Bar, and Pannawonica should listen for the next advice.
|Time (AWST)||Intensity Category||Latitude|
|0hr||11 am March 22||4||17.6S||116.8E||35|
|+6hr||5 pm March 22||4||17.9S||116.7E||60|
|+12hr||11 pm March 22||4||18.1S||116.6E||80|
|+18hr||5 am March 23||5||18.4S||116.7E||105|
|+24hr||11 am March 23||5||18.8S||116.8E||130|
|+36hr||11 pm March 23||4||19.8S||117.3E||165|
|+48hr||11 am March 24||3||20.8S||117.8E||200|
|+60hr||11 pm March 24||2||21.1S||118.0E||235|
|+72hr||11 am March 25||tropical low||21.3S||117.8E||270|
Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 3:00 pm AWST Friday